| 摘要: |
| 植物物候现象是生态气候內容之一,它是当前和过去相当一段时间内环境因素的综合反映,包括当前和过去相当一段时间內气候要素的综合反映。用植物物候现象作为预报因子,与长期预报对象建立相关模式,反映气候因子的综合性,具有较好的物理意义。本文主要用茶树、橡胶树的第一个物候现象为预报因子,采取统计分级相关的方法,预报秋季干旱趋势。 |
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| DOI： |
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| 基金项目: |
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| THE TEST OF USIN GECO-CLIMATE FACT OR FOR AGRICULTURAL LONG-TERM WEATHER GRADE FO RECAST |
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Wen Fuguan
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| (Meteorological observatory of yulin in Guangxi) |
| Abstract: |
| Plant phenological phenomenon is one of eco-climate contents. It is comprehensive reflection of environment factors, including climate factor at present and long before. It posesses good physics significance to establish related model with plant phenological factor and long-termforecasted object to reflect climate-factor comprehensiveness. The articale used the first phenological phenomenon of tea and rubber tree as a forecast factor to forecast dry tendance in autumn by statistics-graderelated method. |
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