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  • 严少敏,吴光.用随机漫步模型拟合39个贝塔世界城市1901~1998年的降水量[J].广西科学院学报,2011,27(3):205-210.    [点击复制]
  • YAN Shao-min,WU Guang.Fitting of Precipitation in 39 Beta World Cities from 1901 to 1998 Using Random Walk Model[J].Journal of Guangxi Academy of Sciences,2011,27(3):205-210.   [点击复制]
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用随机漫步模型拟合39个贝塔世界城市1901~1998年的降水量
严少敏1, 吴光2
0
(1.广西科学院非粮生物质国家重点实验室, 国家非粮生物质能源工程技术研究中心, 广西生物炼制重点实验室, 广西南宁 530007;2.深圳市追梦科技咨询有限公司, 广东深圳 518054)
摘要:
用随机漫步模型拟合1901年至1998年39个贝塔世界城市的年降水量。先将每个城市的降水量转换为降水漫步和随机降水,再用随机漫步模型分别对转换数据和实际数据进行拟合。结果显示,该模型能够拟合降水漫步和实际降水,为降水建模提供了一种模型,表明此期间这些城市的降水呈现随机变化。
关键词:  贝塔世界城市  拟合  降水量  随机漫步
DOI:
投稿时间:2011-03-18
基金项目:partly supported by Guangxi Science Foundation(0907016,10-046-06,11-031-11,2010GXNSFA013003 and 2010GXNSFA013046)
Fitting of Precipitation in 39 Beta World Cities from 1901 to 1998 Using Random Walk Model
YAN Shao-min1, WU Guang2
(1.State Key Laboratory of Non-food Biomass Enzyme Technology, National Engineering Research Center for Non-food Biorefinery, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Biorefinery, Guangxi Academy of Sciences, Nanning, Guangxi, 530007, China;2.DreamSciTech Consulting, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518054, China)
Abstract:
The random walk model was used to fit the annual precipitation in 39 beta world cities from 1901 to 1998.At first,the recorded precipitation of each city was converted to precipitation walk and random precipitation,then the random walk model was used to fit the converted data and recorded ones.The results show that this model can fit both precipitation walk and recorded precipitation.Thus this study provides a model to describe the precipitation patterns,and suggests the random mechanism may underline in the precipitation change of these cities during this period.
Key words:  beta world city  fitting  precipitation  random walk

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