| 引用本文： |
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农卓恩,陈军,翁鸣,何祖友.环境库茨涅茨曲线形成机制的计算机仿真实验[J].广西科学院学报,2008,24(2):110-113. [点击复制]
- NONG Zhuo-en,CHEN Jun,WENG Ming,HE Zu-you.A Computer Simulation on the Formation Mechanism of Environmental Kuznets Curve[J].Journal of Guangxi Academy of Sciences,2008,24(2):110-113. [点击复制]
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| 摘要: |
| 运用计算机仿真技术,在STARLOGO平台上建立一个人工社会仿真模型,仿真研究经济增长与环境污染之间的环境库茨涅茨曲线(EKC)形成机制。结果表明,EKC的转折点出现的时间和顶点的高度,都与收入的环境需求初始值有关,如果收入的环境需求初始值比较小,则人均产量增长速度比较慢,EKC的转折点出现比较迟,转折点的顶点高度比较低;如果收入的环境需求初始值比较大,则人均产量增长速度比较快,EKC的转折点出现得比较早,转折点的顶点高度比较高。提示人们在经济发展初期阶段,应该制定相应经济政策以降低环境的损害程度。 |
| 关键词: 环境 经济 仿真 STARLOGO 环境库茨涅茨曲线 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿时间：2007-11-23 |
| 基金项目:广西教育厅2006年资助课题"广西环境库茨涅茨曲线的形成机制及其计算机仿真验证"的阶段性研究成果。 |
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| A Computer Simulation on the Formation Mechanism of Environmental Kuznets Curve |
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NONG Zhuo-en, CHEN Jun, WENG Ming, HE Zu-you
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| (Guangxi University of Finace and Economics, Nanning, Guangxi, 530003, China) |
| Abstract: |
| A social simulation model by the platform called STARLOGO by using the computer simulation technology was established. Then, this platform was used to study the simulation research about the formation mechanism of Environmental Kuznets Curve between economic growth and environmental pollution. The results showed that, the time and peak height of the EKC turning point are related with the revenue needs of the initial value of the environment. If initial value of the revenue environment needs is relatively low, then the rate of per capita output growth will be low, and EKC turning point will appear relatively late,the peak height of turning point will be relatively low as well.On the contrary,if the initial value of the environment needs is high, then the rate of per capita output growth will be high, and the EKC turning point showed earlier, the peak height of turning point will be relatively higher as well. Therefore, it suggests people that in the early stages of economic development, appropriate economic policies should be established to reduce environmental damage. |
| Key words: environment economic simulation STARLOGO Environmental Kuznets Curve |
