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刘静西,邓超冰,刘幽燕,陈洋,潘圣.基于PSR模型海湾风险源识别指标量化及评价[J].广西科学,2015,22(3):288-293,307. [点击复制]
- LIU Jing-xi,DENG Chao-bing,LIU You-yan,CHEN Yang,PAN Sheng.Quantitative Calculation and Evaluation of Identifying the Indicators for Gulf Risk Source Based on PSR Model[J].Guangxi Sciences,2015,22(3):288-293,307. [点击复制]
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| 基于PSR模型海湾风险源识别指标量化及评价 |
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刘静西1,2, 邓超冰1,3, 刘幽燕1, 陈洋3, 潘圣1,3
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| (1.广西大学, 广西南宁 530004;2.广西壮族自治区辐射环境监督管理站, 广西南宁 530022;3.广西壮族自治区环境监测中心站, 广西南宁 530028) |
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| 摘要: |
| [目的]我国水环境污染事件频繁发生,对水环境、生态环境及社会安全产生严重影响。因此,构建直观、有效的海湾风险源识别方法以积极应对污染事件非常重要。[方法]基于PSR (Pressure-State-Response)分析的模型,利用层次分析(analytic hierarchy process,AHP)方法,从风险源特征、环境风险源受体、风险源应急响应能力等方面,构建海湾风险源识别指标体系,将矩阵的特征向量作为海湾风险源评价的权重,在此基础上,用模糊数学方法进行海湾风险源识别评价。[结果]该方法通过定性和定量方式量化各项指标,减少人为因素的影响,综合分析环境风险源各因素造成的影响,可应用在海湾地区的工业园区环境风险源评价。[结论]该方法可直观地在GIS系统标注环境风险源等级,为日常风险源管理、应急监测等提供可视化应急指挥平台。 |
| 关键词: PSR模型 层次分析 模糊数学 海湾风险源识别 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿时间：2014-11-08修订日期：2015-01-05 |
| 基金项目:北部湾区域重大环境突发性污染事件应急技术开发与示范项目(2009AA06A416)和广西突发污染事故应急技术研究特聘专家资金项目资助。 |
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| Quantitative Calculation and Evaluation of Identifying the Indicators for Gulf Risk Source Based on PSR Model |
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LIU Jing-xi1,2, DENG Chao-bing1,3, LIU You-yan1, CHEN Yang3, PAN Sheng1,3
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| (1.Guangxi University, Nanning, Guangxi, 530004, China;2.Radiation Environmental Monitoring Station of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530022, China;3.Environmental Monitoring Center Station of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530028, China) |
| Abstract: |
| [Objective] Water environmental pollution incident occurred frequently in our country, which had serious influence on water environment, ecological environment and social security.Therefore, constructs the intuitive and effective gulf risk source identification method to actively cope with pollution accidents is very important.[Methods] Based on PSR analysis model with AHP, the identification system of gulf risk source was built, dealing with the aspects of risk source characteristics, environmental risk source receptors, and the emergency response capability of risk source.The feature vectors of the matrix were used as the weighted value of the gulf risk source assessment, based on which, the fuzzy mathematical method was used to estimate the gulf risk source identification.[Results] By means of qualitative and quantitative indicators, the method reduces the impact of human factors.The comprehensive analyses of environmental risk sources on various factors can be applied to the industrial park in the Gulf of environmental risk assessment.[Conclusion] This method can label environmental risk rating in GIS system, and provide visual emergency command platform for the daily risk source management and emergency monitoring. |
| Key words: PSR model AHP fuzzy gulf risk source identification |
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