| 引用本文： |
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廖志高,徐玖平.城乡人口流动对技术创新扩散的影响及实证分析[J].广西科学,2004,11(4):314-319. [点击复制]
- Liao Zhigao,Xu Jiuping.The Effect of the Members Transferring between Town and Country on Innovation Diffusion and Its Empirical Analysis[J].Guangxi Sciences,2004,11(4):314-319. [点击复制]
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| 摘要: |
| 针对人口流动可能会存在对技术创新扩散速度和市场最大潜力的影响,提出一种基于城乡之间流动的创新技术扩散动力学速度模型,并对该模型进行稳定分析。结果发现城乡之间是否存在人员流动、单向或双向流动,城乡人口数最终会趋向稳定.同时,该技术创新市场扩散也会达到一终值.利用中国城镇和农村的固定电话用户数的数据进行实证分析,得出不管存不存在人员流动,固定电话用户都会达到其市场最大值,但其扩散速度和市场最大值会因为人员流动而发生变化. |
| 关键词: 技术创新 技术扩散 扩散模型 人口流动 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿时间：2004-06-11修订日期：2004-07-26 |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(70171021)和教育部高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划资助项目。 |
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| The Effect of the Members Transferring between Town and Country on Innovation Diffusion and Its Empirical Analysis |
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Liao Zhigao1,2, Xu Jiuping2
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| (1.Dept. of Mana. Engi., Guangxi Univ. of Tech., Donghualu, Liuzhou, Guangxi, 545006, China;2.School of Business & Administration, Sichuan Univ., Chengdu, Sichuan, 610064, China) |
| Abstract: |
| Aimed at the possible effect of the migration on innovation diffusion,a dynamics rate model based on the population transferring between town and country is formulated.And the members will trend to a few fixed numbers through a stability analysis on the model whether the members migrate or not.At the same time,an empirical analysis is also given with the data of telephone set consumers of China town and China country,the data of the consumers will trend to its maximum number whether the members transfers or not,yet the number will change since the members transferring. |
| Key words: technology innovation innovation diffusion diffusion model population flowing |
